Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 10.488557 11.982068 13.621027 15.554430 17.774709 20.246868 23.211403
2025-12-14 8.393903 10.328574 12.619359 15.537073 19.162414 23.529253 29.204362
2025-12-21 7.111202 9.219674 11.853738 15.396187 20.051986 25.984829 34.154952
2025-12-28 6.462229 8.749001 11.735781 15.938873 21.728623 29.463593 40.648916
2026-01-04 5.906888 8.302373 11.554106 16.314059 23.145142 32.656754 47.014666
2026-01-11 5.506359 8.004054 11.514065 16.838053 24.767014 36.229322 54.221301
2026-01-18 4.911764 7.356101 10.898583 16.444880 24.983068 37.748015 58.500998
2026-01-25 4.442103 6.838729 10.412434 16.174527 25.322195 39.433318 63.140223
2026-02-01 4.042856 6.385866 9.973576 15.919244 25.634185 41.066943 67.806807
2026-02-08 3.693889 5.976639 9.560163 15.654137 25.885241 42.594650 72.404415
2026-02-15 3.387841 5.607173 9.173969 15.389404 26.096248 44.048937 76.979575
2026-02-22 3.293348 5.575567 9.330558 16.035870 27.888419 48.294811 86.789374
2026-03-01 3.125676 5.409216 9.253034 16.282240 29.023791 51.534909 95.180409
2026-03-08 2.927109 5.172246 9.034144 16.258127 29.670459 53.958521 102.301475
2026-03-15 2.728762 4.918185 8.762603 16.110701 30.069218 55.949576 108.773571
2026-03-22 2.655799 4.883420 8.877236 16.679599 31.849271 60.657776 120.984390
2026-03-29 2.562493 4.802683 8.899726 17.072936 33.321258 64.896709 132.667491
2026-04-05 2.496107 4.766527 9.000579 17.622307 35.141418 69.966791 146.553053
2026-04-12 2.313943 4.493494 8.629937 17.210090 34.992172 71.071388 152.180898
2026-04-19 2.162680 4.269243 8.336279 16.926652 35.077892 72.654248 158.979504
2026-04-26 2.025607 4.062825 8.061970 16.659022 35.169974 74.249795 165.949041
2026-05-03 1.898333 3.866744 7.793670 16.381101 35.213338 75.737853 172.810308
2026-05-10 1.780963 3.682424 7.535728 16.103580 35.231415 77.165937 179.663039